Source: International Business Times
The House passed a stopgap funding bill 220-205 on July 21, shoving the government's spending deadline from September 30 to December 4 and conveniently clear of the midterms. Prediction markets repriced instantly, with implied odds of an October 1 shutdown on Kalshi falling from roughly 59% to 48%. Here's the tension traders keep missing: a lower probability is not a resolved dispute.
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