Matthew Stafford’s MVP season was fueled by massive ‘luck cushion’ — what it means for 2026

Source: New York Post

Matthew Stafford’s brilliant 2025 campaign secured him his first MVP award and pushed the Los Angeles Rams back into the Super Bowl conversation, but a new study from Pro Football Focus suggests the veteran quarterback may have been riding the NFL’s biggest wave of turnover luck. According to PFF’s “net luck” model, Stafford posted the largest positive interception variance in football at +6. 8 — a staggering 2.