Government Shutdown Odds Just Dropped: Bitcoin Traders Are Reading It Wrong

Fuente: International Business Times

The House passed a stopgap funding bill 220-205 on July 21, shoving the government's spending deadline from September 30 to December 4 and conveniently clear of the midterms. Prediction markets repriced instantly, with implied odds of an October 1 shutdown on Kalshi falling from roughly 59% to 48%. Here's the tension traders keep missing: a lower probability is not a resolved dispute.